TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$763,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$818,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69c5…1e01backed New York Yankees48c103,773$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,7732352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees46c85,083$38,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,335.1210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Yankees47c70,302$33,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,260.2946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Washington Nationals53c54,000$28,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,6208950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals62c52,632$32,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,631.5826056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals49c46,788$22,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,926.061,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals53c33,019$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,50043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked New York Yankees48c31,250$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,2504141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed New York Yankees56c29,773$16,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,175.92962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals51c24,316$12,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,516.245,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Washington Nationals52c22,500$11,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,712.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals78c17,004$13,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,256.7114152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals52c15,525$8,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,023.183,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals53c14,674$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals52c13,564$6,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,991.066,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees59c13,558$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.0623255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Washington Nationals52c10,989$5,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,714.51450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals39c8,397$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.894,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Washington Nationals52c6,707$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Washington Nationals62c6,579$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.9515659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees54c6,368$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.4911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Nationals53c5,661$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.3316747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals48c5,458$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.6995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.1428042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Washington Nationals62c5,263$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.1612759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals53c5,157$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.2144945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0390…da52backed New York Yankees44c5,148$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals33c5,092$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.268,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees51c4,969$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.5713552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked New York Yankees24c4,216$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals64c4,097$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.292,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees57c4,000$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.9248451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Washington Nationals62c3,947$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.3712759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals52c3,841$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.314,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees54c3,718$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.366653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Washington Nationals57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed New York Yankees47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9914938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees68c3,322$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.24,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals4c3,105$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1437032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees46c3,096$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.348,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals36c2,884$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.568,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals52c2,629$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.744,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees48c2,501$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.7251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Washington Nationals40c2,256$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.1518151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Washington Nationals62c2,105$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.14654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Washington Nationals50c2,074$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.985457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed New York Yankees47c1,999$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.47852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals51c1,895$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.571,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals51c1,666$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.661,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees51c1,660$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.9797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals52c1,545$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.431,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals53c1,513$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.581,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals52c1,489$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.281,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals29c1,423$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66355653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees48c1,237$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2364452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Yankees55c1,220$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5941346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals52c1,202$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62551547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Washington Nationals60c1,200$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7149949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees36c1,139$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.791,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees48c1,103$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.242,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed New York Yankees37c1,062$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7821146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed New York Yankees48c1,015$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.589848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Washington Nationals52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Washington Nationals49c999.94$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals51c992.22$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3236048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees49c975.76$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.712,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals17c937$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8382636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals51c908.68$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.853,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46861947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees30c871.93$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.351,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals53c869$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5728347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals74c842.79$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6235,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals35c839.97$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees51c823.53$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5315447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals44c800$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.631,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed New York Yankees48c799.95$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9712448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked New York Yankees64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ca2…3ff2backed Washington Nationals35c774.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals43c772.18$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2554945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebbe…04b0backed Washington Nationals7c767.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.731428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Washington Nationals27c751$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.71216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked New York Yankees38c747.14$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0415751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals53c721.96$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6437546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals10c690$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.994655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3050…1a35backed Washington Nationals63c668.67$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.017154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f64…9ca2backed New York Yankees78c640.64$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ae…5772backed Washington Nationals79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f69…69c5backed Washington Nationals52c622.33$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Washington Nationals57c601.75$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3433348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b0f0backed Washington Nationals48c591.06$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7150%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Washington Nationals51c570.2$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7329752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Washington Nationals53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals53c565.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.761,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees51c549.45$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3334650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.