MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275d26b8cb575a98fc360c94058bb0486949cbb358d45ad1e170ede75164feda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed New York Yankees | 48c | 103,773$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,773 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 46c | 85,083$38,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,335.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Yankees | 47c | 70,302$33,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,260.29 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 54,000$28,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,620 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 52,632$32,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,631.58 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 46,788$22,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,926.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 33,019$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed New York Yankees | 56c | 29,773$16,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,175.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 24,316$12,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,516.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 22,500$11,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,712.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 17,004$13,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,256.71 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 15,525$8,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,023.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 13,564$6,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 13,558$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.06 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 10,989$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 8,397$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 6,707$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 6,579$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.95 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 6,368$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 5,661$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.33 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 5,458$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.14 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 5,263$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.16 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 5,157$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.21 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…da52backed New York Yankees | 44c | 5,148$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 5,092$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 4,969$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.57 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked New York Yankees | 24c | 4,216$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 4,097$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees | 57c | 4,000$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.92 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 3,947$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.37 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,841$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,718$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed New York Yankees | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 68c | 3,322$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 4c | 3,105$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 46c | 3,096$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,884$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,629$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,501$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.72 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 2,256$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.15 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 2,105$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,074$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.4 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,895$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.57 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,666$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,660$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.97 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,545$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.43 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,513$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,489$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,423$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,237$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.23 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,220$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.59 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,200$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 36c | 1,139$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.79 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,103$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed New York Yankees | 37c | 1,062$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.78 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 992.22$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 975.76$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.71 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 937$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 908.68$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.85 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees | 30c | 871.93$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.35 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 869$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.57 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 842.79$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 839.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 800$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.63 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed New York Yankees | 48c | 799.95$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.97 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca2…3ff2backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 774.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 772.18$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 767.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 751$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked New York Yankees | 38c | 747.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 721.96$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.64 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 690$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 668.67$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.01 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…9ca2backed New York Yankees | 78c | 640.64$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ae…5772backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 622.33$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 601.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b0f0backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 591.06$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 570.2$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 565.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 549.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.