Tennis · resolved market
Bordeaux: Jenson Brooksby vs Alex Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18a792f159404a470f55d9daffa14941d47c5f6a8ab110a9eb0092d9caa1ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Jenson Brooksby, Alex Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 4,040$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.38 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jenson Brooksby | 10c | 2,568$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.91 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alex Molcan | 76c | 1,971$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.93 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jenson Brooksby | 14c | 1,715$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jenson Brooksby | 33c | 1,370$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.96 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jenson Brooksby | 16c | 1,129$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jenson Brooksby | 10c | 1,084$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Alex Molcan | 68c | 999.99$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Jenson Brooksby | 16c | 701.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jenson Brooksby | 33c | 386.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Jenson Brooksby | 15c | 334.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jenson Brooksby | 20c | 308.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jenson Brooksby | 26c | 276.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…a6d3backed Jenson Brooksby | 12c | 218.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 171.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Jenson Brooksby | 13c | 171.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jenson Brooksby | 7c | 149.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jenson Brooksby | 30c | 146.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Jenson Brooksby | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jenson Brooksby | 31c | 125.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…f675backed Jenson Brooksby | 9c | 125.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Jenson Brooksby | 31c | 121.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Alex Molcan | 69c | 121.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jenson Brooksby | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Jenson Brooksby | 13c | 118.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jenson Brooksby | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Alex Molcan | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 93.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Jenson Brooksby | 34c | 64.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Jenson Brooksby | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Jenson Brooksby | 17c | 62.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 58.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Alex Molcan | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Jenson Brooksby | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Alex Molcan | 71c | 45.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…577abacked Alex Molcan | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Alex Molcan | 77c | 38.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Alex Molcan | 69c | 37.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Alex Molcan | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alex Molcan | 69c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Alex Molcan | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Molcan | 72c | 24.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Alex Molcan | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Alex Molcan | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 14.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.