TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Over41c53,068$21,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,310.098354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c6,477$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under62c5,986$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.4234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under58c4,960$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Over49c4,119$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over42c3,543$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.019054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under59c3,246$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9151936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over41c2,647$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.559350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c2,332$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.21,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c1,005$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over41c908$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.723420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under58c862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4647749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c785.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over32c781.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.253158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over41c768.72$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.726924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.712941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over42c680.76$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over74c678.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5219353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c664.52$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over34c638.1$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Under59c542.31$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.961275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under57c522$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.542650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c513.24$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…6c3abacked Under6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over42c490.23$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1911429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over42c475.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0511348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over42c440.45$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4621650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over35c428.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.574017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c426.62$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under52c424.17$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under63c406.35$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2568757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under59c389.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over77c387.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.334858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over42c361.52$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.682236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Over42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c353.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over41c283.86$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c270$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Under58c261.65$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over42c237.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.825554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over41c230$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.376863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under58c230$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over42c228.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.111060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under59c228.81$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under58c210$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over31c206.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.454344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…1d24backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under59c197.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over33c187.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3118055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Under59c167.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over41c159.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8516526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under36c151$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.039661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over35c149.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+44.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91d9…5d05backed Under59c147.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+149.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.865147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c135.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+110.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c126.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over42c126.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.192445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c122.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9217958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under58c119.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over42c116.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under58c111.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9311448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.455339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under57c101.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7312657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5726747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…1b40backed Over43c97.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over47c97.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5511460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c90.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.486347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x267d…3852backed Over42c84.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.436653%35 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1123…9e89backed Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.918125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over42c68.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.742365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.