Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57029ff6dec31dd405db8685a3ec175239da24ac90f015f7a0c7eccd9a17b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 15,509$9,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,384.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 35c | 12,889$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,377.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 69c | 2,040$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.27 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 23c | 1,204$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.07 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 78c | 999.73$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.79 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 484.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 473.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 22c | 454.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 23c | 452.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 78c | 319.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 64c | 299.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 249.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 219.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 19c | 214.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 68c | 166.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 80c | 143.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Under | 80c | 143.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 79c | 140$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Under | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 130.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 31c | 117.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 108.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 28c | 88.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 82.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 68c | 82.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 75.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 80c | 71.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 23c | 61.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…19e0backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 70c | 41.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 68c | 40.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 65c | 33.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Under | 79c | 33.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 28.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 25.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 78c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 66c | 21.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 79c | 18.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.