Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9bc0d022825fd77b26c3f0db85064ff167f9ba237795ae385e22419873db092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventus FCof AS Roma, Juventus FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed AS Roma | 14c | 2,211$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked AS Roma | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Juventus FC | 26c | 910$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.4 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed AS Roma | 30c | 668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked AS Roma | 17c | 462.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8c87backed AS Roma | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked AS Roma | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed AS Roma | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Roma | 19c | 115.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed AS Roma | 14c | 114.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed AS Roma | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed AS Roma | 12c | 98.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AS Roma | 18c | 92.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Juventus FC | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Roma | 25c | 63.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Juventus FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)this page
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.