TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c10,400$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.592,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c6,792$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.4398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under31c5,334$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.6626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.83464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over69c3,800$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1783053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over70c3,034$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.294969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under32c3,004$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over68c2,817$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.399350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under37c1,554$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.3631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Over79c1,171$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.89560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under28c1,126$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.126924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over60c1,067$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c806$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over70c785.71$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.718957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under31c589$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5917651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over74c476.81$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over65c450$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.782832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…6c3abacked Under3c389.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c383.93$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over67c304$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c250.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.036768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under22c233.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+168.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over77c231$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over69c216.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6019652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over76c187$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.656863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c158.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under31c150.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.645028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482584%21 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c146.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4738547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over74c145$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.588357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over69c140.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.033652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Over67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c108.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…df66backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc80…1d24backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over55c91.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.431978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c87.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over70c86.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.715147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under28c85.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.949750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under29c80.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.136245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under36c75.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over54c72.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.225448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c66.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.198158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c63.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8814845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over68c58.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635f…6be6backed Over70c57.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.561090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+46.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over69c53.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.453756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over67c49.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.258242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…2646backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122080%16 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over69c38.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.987661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.829661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under32c36.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.584261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+151.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.965156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.163839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under32c31.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…5557backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over66c23.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.139561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9204…a71bbacked Over61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+63.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6c…b288backed Over69c17.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50d6…f94abacked Over69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.