Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546006b8f02555e4138d03a9b6b16392aaee8c2cc9b93068ad9f5d7ecd103c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 2c | 7,749$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 62c | 1,317$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,264$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 39c | 1,185$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.72 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 61c | 1,082$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.82 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 947.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 887$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…4a70backed Yes | 63c | 811.64$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 31c | 699.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…0af7backed No | 79c | 637$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 63c | 556.44$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 69c | 516.44$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…0120backed No | 65c | 501.05$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7181backed Yes | 63c | 477.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 57c | 436$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 70c | 406.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…0d4fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…39efbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…e75fbacked No | 79c | 327$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 41c | 280.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 31c | 255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 7c | 205.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 57c | 171.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…4980backed Yes | 20c | 142.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 9c | 116.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked No | 55c | 114.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed No | 60c | 100.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 94.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…dd39backed No | 72c | 91.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…6661backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Yes | 50c | 40.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 42c | 33.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed No | 60c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…688fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $56 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $64 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $68 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.