Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17922aa6e204dd128b111699005fd4d96f10f9daef00a11b8d4c49c27fdfe987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 5,515$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 22c | 3,619$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 17c | 776.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 540.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed No | 80c | 530.73$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Yes | 19c | 378.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 80c | 375.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 76c | 315.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 288.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 80c | 188.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…8a0ebacked Yes | 13c | 169.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…ce2dbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 70c | 128.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2862backed Yes | 19c | 102.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 30c | 95.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed No | 77c | 77.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…8f10backed Yes | 24c | 46.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…4304backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed No | 80c | 37.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $56 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $64 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $68 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.