Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c63ef3dee9c92e16facf9d0af49371e31164d66dfc09f1cf6f96601b87fdf78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 9c | 5,065$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.13 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…4a70backed Yes | 36c | 732.36$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 17c | 580.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 30c | 468.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 15c | 299.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…0120backed No | 80c | 295$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…8a0ebacked Yes | 10c | 283.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 77c | 273.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 170.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 14c | 128.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 60c | 117.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…ce2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d1…5840backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 97.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 52c | 83.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2862backed Yes | 38c | 79.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Yes | 16c | 79.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 74.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 19c | 67.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…dfc5backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 66c | 31.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…7550backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $56 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $64 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $68 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.