Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6ab93a4cdb232767b4d4fb447d972689b4d2d73b228e3fc9c6540482abd7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 20c | 3,026$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.27 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 7c | 2,357$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…9ddebacked No | 5c | 2,082$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 69c | 1,700$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 65c | 1,584$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…0120backed No | 18c | 1,325$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 69c | 1,179$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 2c | 999.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 67c | 900$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…5513backed No | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…0af7backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 451.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…aeb8backed Yes | 12c | 410$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 16c | 341.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 68c | 307.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…b375backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 62c | 176.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 53c | 156.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 126.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 39c | 117.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 23c | 116.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes | 15c | 114.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b79abacked No | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…9e3bbacked No | 50c | 101.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 16c | 100.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +543.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 12c | 94.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 34c | 69.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…f9e4backed No | 50c | 52.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $56 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $64 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $68 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.