Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b141f1c9663aa812510c2d3403fe66b5ef6d15cef0d0b25bc53e37f34f0668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabf0…da21backed No | 2c | 35,850$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 1c | 21,441$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 65c | 12,805$8,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.74 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 19c | 7,060$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.83 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 19c | 5,633$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.86 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 67c | 5,533$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.15 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed No | 21c | 4,389$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.21 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 42c | 4,038$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…6f6abacked No | 3c | 3,837$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…fb3dbacked No | 0c | 3,526$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…dd69backed No | 66c | 3,405$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 27c | 3,059$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked No | 3c | 2,979$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 18c | 2,800$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 1c | 2,668$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.99 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 66c | 2,278$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.23 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,174$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…7aa5backed No | 4c | 2,097$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…9baabacked No | 5c | 1,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 38c | 1,821$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.77 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…47d5backed No | 49c | 1,811$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…3433backed No | 1c | 1,760$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,707$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 77c | 1,692$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…7b0bbacked No | 25c | 1,683$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed No | 69c | 1,658$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 1c | 1,639$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…8250backed No | 49c | 1,620$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked No | 20c | 1,581$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cb9abacked No | 21c | 1,519$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…c271backed No | 1c | 1,451$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,335$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed No | 8c | 1,301$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked No | 30c | 1,228$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…b03dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,122$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 22c | 1,045$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…747abacked No | 19c | 1,028$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 1c | 997.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 939.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 61c | 918.95$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 9c | 916$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…6c69backed Yes | 77c | 900$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…41c2backed No | 28c | 830$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 753.57$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed No | 59c | 732.25$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.83 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 38c | 703.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 22c | 697.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed No | 20c | 614.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 597.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 17c | 591.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…2c0cbacked No | 3c | 558.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 34c | 557.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…a11dbacked No | 21c | 535.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…6734backed Yes | 60c | 527.49$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…082fbacked No | 70c | 520$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…5d62backed Yes | 80c | 510.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…9921backed No | 21c | 471.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 23c | 438.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 46c | 434.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked No | 2c | 426.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…e3e6backed No | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 18c | 399.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 46c | 398.78$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…353fbacked No | 37c | 394.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…a8f2backed No | 58c | 345.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…3ee9backed No | 18c | 338.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 45c | 321.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…659dbacked No | 31c | 321.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 18c | 319.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed No | 18c | 319.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…b561backed No | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…e1d8backed No | 57c | 291.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ba…ee00backed No | 57c | 281.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…9509backed No | 36c | 277.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…9589backed Yes | 75c | 266.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcf…4c67backed Yes | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…1d05backed No | 20c | 250.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…6c40backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed No | 49c | 249.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed No | 24c | 249.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…6873backed No | 52c | 241.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 21c | 226.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…c4bebacked Yes | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…df67backed No | 32c | 222$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 25c | 216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…b03cbacked Yes | 60c | 198.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 15c | 190.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked No | 42c | 155.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 58c | 154.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…2c88backed No | 34c | 148.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 21c | 146$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.