MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b04ff4f3b9c8bc9a3e8f67b0fc30d78f46ae357a39d1edd0638b66729e038d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $812,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 173,331$100,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,178.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 143,523$71,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,294.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 69,767$31,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,671.73 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 69,618$28,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,472.1 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 41,375$17,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,583.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 36,693$20,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,431.17 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 32,716$14,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,320.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 27,867$11,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,690.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 24,628$14,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,022 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 21,445$12,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 20,000$13,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.01 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 16,831$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 16,138$7,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 15,699$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 14,999$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.63 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 11,589$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.61 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 11,452$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 8,968$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.46 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 8,318$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.62 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 8,304$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 7,780$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.85 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 6,853$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.56 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 5,974$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,814$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.17 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 4,651$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.65 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 4,534$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.43 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 4,247$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 3,995$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.53 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,782$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 3,650$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 3,568$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.26 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 3,488$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.6 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 3,346$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.43 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,158$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.06 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 3,110$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.24 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 2,917$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.67 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…d000backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.32 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.36 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,591$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.22 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,553$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.95 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 1,487$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,451$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.34 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,384$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.94 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,381$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.58 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,365$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,138$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.58 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,125$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 916.07$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.48 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 905.65$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 876.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 819$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.83 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 778.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 774.88$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.88 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 727.27$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 712$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 708.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 708.13$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.06 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 707.58$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 706.69$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 699.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.45 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 644.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0f3dbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 626.87$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 609.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 580.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 578.25$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 575.39$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 535.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 514.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 496.66$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 495.58$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 477.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 468.95$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 462.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.