TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e74…5972backed TheMongolz51c21,804$11,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,120.294238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz51c8,982$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,552.955,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons49c6,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.9866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz51c3,500$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.632,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Team Falcons49c3,337$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.677238.9%28 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons50c2,461$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.741,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons48c2,169$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.8736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked TheMongolz50c2,067$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Falcons49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02032844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Team Falcons50c1,283$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.310143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz51c1,250$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4824935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed TheMongolz51c1,235$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.877751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Team Falcons50c1,202$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Team Falcons49c1,159$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.185242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons48c1,117$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.071,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed TheMongolz26c1,102$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.591520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Team Falcons49c930.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.616848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed TheMongolz50c800$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8159755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz50c797.58$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.212,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons75c744.06$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.051,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons49c651.41$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.222,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons49c638$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3823949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Team Falcons50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…2d72backed Team Falcons49c564.18$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.731533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked TheMongolz50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed TheMongolz49c495.2$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed TheMongolz52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23438052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed TheMongolz49c406$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9455941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe295…d437backed Team Falcons49c373.78$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.742548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons61c350.14$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6530259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15338954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed TheMongolz50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509450%47 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed Team Falcons49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons49c287.2$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4748948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Team Falcons49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.57354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons74c245.11$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5716142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc06…7f72backed Team Falcons49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.633438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Team Falcons49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0819448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed TheMongolz50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Falcons51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Team Falcons48c198.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.478554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Team Falcons49c198.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Team Falcons51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed TheMongolz51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a36…3ff9backed Team Falcons49c195.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Team Falcons50c182.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.367967.1%53 W · 26 L+10.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Team Falcons49c171.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.799954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons49c161.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2251348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Team Falcons49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.067255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz52c152.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9633459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee77…4dc3backed TheMongolz51c149.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz52c123.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6452837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked TheMongolz49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010444.2%46 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed TheMongolz50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed TheMongolz34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7568659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Falcons49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.239338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Team Falcons51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6519147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz32c114.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.731,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Team Falcons49c110.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed TheMongolz50c104.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8713050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed Team Falcons49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.086061.7%37 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Falcons50c101.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7330939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed TheMongolz52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked TheMongolz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Team Falcons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Team Falcons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e7…f2e5backed TheMongolz50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TheMongolz45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5472353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Falcons49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9820755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…dd56backed TheMongolz52c96.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Team Falcons50c87.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.926344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons55c86.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.071,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…33c4backed TheMongolz49c80.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Team Falcons50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed TheMongolz50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407938%30 W · 49 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Team Falcons50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20f4…8b5ebacked TheMongolz50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed TheMongolz46c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2610036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Team Falcons75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.732975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked Team Falcons54c73.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4524255.8%135 W · 107 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb54c…7f56backed TheMongolz51c73.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.246155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons51c69.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.997,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TheMongolz52c61.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Team Falcons50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x192f…b8adbacked Team Falcons50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Falcons74c58.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.135054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Team Falcons49c58.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5916156.5%91 W · 70 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35e…0440backed TheMongolz52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010743.9%47 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Team Falcons49c57.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3315346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.