CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d01f5de39bd0fa51b7dff11916b1d5eca5bd863ed0b516bfa020024d1ba23cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e74…5972backed TheMongolz | 51c | 21,804$11,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,120.29 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 8,982$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.98 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,500$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.63 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,337$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.67 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,461$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.74 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,169$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.87 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 2,067$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,283$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.3 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.48 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.87 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,202$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,159$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,117$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.07 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,102$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Team Falcons | 49c | 930.61$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed TheMongolz | 50c | 800$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz | 50c | 797.58$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 744.06$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 651.41$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 49c | 638$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Team Falcons | 49c | 564.18$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed TheMongolz | 49c | 495.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed TheMongolz | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed TheMongolz | 49c | 406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…d437backed Team Falcons | 49c | 373.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 350.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed TheMongolz | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Team Falcons | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 287.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Team Falcons | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 245.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed Team Falcons | 49c | 213$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed TheMongolz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Team Falcons | 48c | 198.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Falcons | 49c | 198.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed TheMongolz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…3ff9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 195.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 182.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Falcons | 49c | 171.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 152.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…4dc3backed TheMongolz | 51c | 149.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed TheMongolz | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TheMongolz | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz | 32c | 114.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed TheMongolz | 50c | 104.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Team Falcons | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Team Falcons | 50c | 101.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed TheMongolz | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked TheMongolz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed TheMongolz | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed TheMongolz | 52c | 96.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Team Falcons | 50c | 87.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 86.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed TheMongolz | 49c | 80.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Team Falcons | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed TheMongolz | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed TheMongolz | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 73.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed TheMongolz | 51c | 73.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 51c | 69.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TheMongolz | 52c | 61.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…b8adbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team Falcons | 74c | 58.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 58.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0440backed TheMongolz | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 57.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.