Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98651beab779411988d573bcfa233cab37cb77e58c934a3069a4afaddf57289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of 100 Thieves, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Cloud9 | 40c | 28,306$11,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,937.02 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 27,504$16,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,502.34 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 24,000$14,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,760 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Cloud9 | 38c | 19,839$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,342.64 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Cloud9 | 38c | 12,454$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Cloud9 | 39c | 6,057$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 4,594$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Cloud9 | 38c | 4,063$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.91 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,996$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.92 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Cloud9 | 37c | 1,750$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.54 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,378$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,370$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.88 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cloud9 | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 999.9$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.94 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 872.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 235 | 63.4%149 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 542.1$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 540$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Cloud9 | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 437.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Cloud9 | 40c | 414.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 410$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…64d0backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 395.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 384.01$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…aebabacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 380.77$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 281.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 250 | 46.4%116 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 271.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 249.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 236.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 335 | 46.6%156 W · 179 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Cloud9 | 38c | 221.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cloud9 | 40c | 204.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 195.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…b7b3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 187.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 169.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 165.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cloud9 | 38c | 157$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Cloud9 | 38c | 148.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Cloud9 | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 140.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 114.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 112.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Cloud9 | 39c | 99.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 86.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Cloud9 | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Cloud9 | 36c | 69.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…2d2bbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 68.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…d38fbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 63.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 58.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Cloud9 | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 48.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed Cloud9 | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3abfbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 38.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Cloud9 | 39c | 37.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Cloud9 | 39c | 29.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6329…7284backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cloud9 | 72c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…26cbbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 13.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)Cloud9 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)Cloud9 won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaCloud9 won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.