Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d0675a723edb4067f86bb28b76ae40b0d08a85b9441c536602a65b4c947e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Pegula | 53c | 18,000$9,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,535.78 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Gauff | 34c | 5,002$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.5 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…4dbebacked Pegula | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Gauff | 48c | 3,782$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.51 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Gauff | 49c | 3,026$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.91 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gauff | 51c | 1,313$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.36 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Gauff | 44c | 1,265$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.41 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Gauff | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Gauff | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pegula | 62c | 876.42$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.38 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Gauff | 51c | 848.63$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.93 | 365 | 57.5%210 W · 155 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Gauff | 48c | 835.5$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Gauff | 38c | 579.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.13 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Gauff | 38c | 579.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Gauff | 45c | 553.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gauff | 42c | 526.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.42 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Gauff | 42c | 473.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Pegula | 62c | 470.48$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Gauff | 42c | 392.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3386…8e59backed Pegula | 64c | 362.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Gauff | 45c | 336.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gauff | 36c | 318.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Gauff | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gauff | 46c | 217.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Gauff | 46c | 217.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Gauff | 51c | 194.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gauff | 42c | 149.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gauff | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Gauff | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Gauff | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Gauff | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Gauff | 42c | 117.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Gauff | 42c | 115.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Gauff | 42c | 89.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Pegula | 65c | 80.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gauff | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Gauff | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Pegula | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Gauff | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Pegula | 64c | 52.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Gauff | 42c | 50.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gauff | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Gauff | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pegula | 62c | 38.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gauff | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gauff | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Pegula | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Gauff | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Gauff | 65c | 29.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Gauff | 66c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica PegulaCoco Gauff won
- Coco Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Gauff vs. Pegula: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Pegula: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs PegulaGauff won
- Set 2 Winner: Gauff vs PegulaGauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.