Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bda685ba2b35300f0fe68a6e3957dfc36bf202e74e1537f9bc5eaaeef7fb26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof BoomBoys, Iron Wing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 49c | 75,696$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,696.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BoomBoys | 0c | 26,966$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked BoomBoys | 40c | 20,537$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.58 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed BoomBoys | 50c | 20,500$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed BoomBoys | 50c | 17,730$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,947 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed BoomBoys | 14c | 16,470$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.49 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed BoomBoys | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.97 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 11,293$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.06 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed BoomBoys | 52c | 10,312$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.27 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 10,193$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.27 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…fcdebacked BoomBoys | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys | 51c | 9,187$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.99 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked BoomBoys | 52c | 8,600$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 7,625$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed BoomBoys | 52c | 6,481$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Iron Wing | 70c | 6,373$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.95 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Iron Wing | 77c | 5,962$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.19 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked BoomBoys | 8c | 5,750$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 49c | 5,025$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.24 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 4,360$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked BoomBoys | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked BoomBoys | 51c | 4,260$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Iron Wing | 62c | 4,111$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.41 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 3,991$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 68c | 3,987$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.98 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Iron Wing | 53c | 3,693$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Iron Wing | 48c | 3,600$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.67 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Iron Wing | 67c | 3,310$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Iron Wing | 50c | 2,870$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.69 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed BoomBoys | 15c | 2,859$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.88 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Iron Wing | 50c | 2,440$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.03 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked BoomBoys | 29c | 2,395$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 53c | 2,394$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 2,322$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.07 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 33c | 2,249$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.08 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 2,235$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.34 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Iron Wing | 73c | 2,191$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.44 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed BoomBoys | 1c | 2,186$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 2,160$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.29 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Iron Wing | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked BoomBoys | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Iron Wing | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 1,944$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed BoomBoys | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Iron Wing | 48c | 1,908$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.27 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed BoomBoys | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,785$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.64 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed BoomBoys | 52c | 1,659$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.55 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed BoomBoys | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Iron Wing | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 1,546$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.84 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Iron Wing | 71c | 1,503$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.32 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BoomBoys | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed BoomBoys | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked BoomBoys | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Iron Wing | 46c | 1,473$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.32 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed BoomBoys | 39c | 1,423$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BoomBoys | 41c | 1,293$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…801fbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 1,151$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BoomBoys | 39c | 1,131$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed BoomBoys | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…84debacked BoomBoys | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Iron Wing | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed BoomBoys | 51c | 1,030$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed BoomBoys | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked BoomBoys | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed BoomBoys | 25c | 991.73$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed BoomBoys | 29c | 951.69$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 49c | 950.41$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.7 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed BoomBoys | 50c | 922$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed BoomBoys | 22c | 896.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 827.88$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed BoomBoys | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked BoomBoys | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Iron Wing | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BoomBoys | 54c | 708.51$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.6 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed BoomBoys | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Iron Wing | 49c | 688.62$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Iron Wing | 75c | 677.74$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Iron Wing | 72c | 674.84$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iron Wing | 54c | 628.75$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Iron Wing | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked BoomBoys | 40c | 619.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Iron Wing | 67c | 619.01$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BoomBoys | 50c | 600.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed BoomBoys | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Iron Wing | 49c | 561$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed BoomBoys | 53c | 528.03$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…9fc5backed BoomBoys | 51c | 513.07$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Iron Wing | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed BoomBoys | 53c | 471.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 464.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed BoomBoys | 4c | 455.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed BoomBoys | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked BoomBoys | 31c | 441.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group StageBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.