Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabe6dd35b7e160c27cc5de44aa286eeff0b11ff3806bc533b0e66b0091ebe6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof BoomBoys, Iron Wing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 43c | 103,374$43,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,933.94 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 59c | 32,498$19,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,258.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Iron Wing | 40c | 21,706$8,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,773.34 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 51c | 16,757$8,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,466.07 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked BoomBoys | 54c | 16,257$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,536.33 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing | 45c | 15,212$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.44 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed BoomBoys | 57c | 13,776$7,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.55 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Iron Wing | 0c | 13,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Iron Wing | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 9,567$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.51 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked BoomBoys | 61c | 8,640$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.91 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 7,012$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 6,865$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 6,574$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.21 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BoomBoys | 55c | 5,550$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed BoomBoys | 58c | 5,383$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.92 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BoomBoys | 59c | 5,266$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.99 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys | 49c | 5,197$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 5,000$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.52 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…48bfbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 4,850$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed BoomBoys | 54c | 4,400$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.98 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 61c | 4,385$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.41 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked BoomBoys | 62c | 4,384$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked BoomBoys | 70c | 4,299$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.98 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 59c | 4,294$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.74 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed BoomBoys | 59c | 4,212$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.94 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed BoomBoys | 37c | 4,012$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.51 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 3,233$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.75 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 3,183$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.3 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed BoomBoys | 59c | 3,176$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.57 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed BoomBoys | 63c | 3,002$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.87 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed BoomBoys | 49c | 2,911$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.44 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Iron Wing | 47c | 2,809$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.36 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Iron Wing | 22c | 2,806$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.56 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys | 63c | 2,742$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.39 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…23ddbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 2,700$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed BoomBoys | 63c | 2,635$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BoomBoys | 38c | 2,622$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.15 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed BoomBoys | 65c | 2,546$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.14 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Iron Wing | 51c | 2,544$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BoomBoys | 65c | 2,538$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.26 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Iron Wing | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed BoomBoys | 62c | 2,411$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.18 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 47c | 2,354$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.37 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BoomBoys | 49c | 2,307$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed BoomBoys | 50c | 2,249$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.74 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed BoomBoys | 59c | 2,146$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.01 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked BoomBoys | 74c | 2,039$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.21 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 2,020$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked BoomBoys | 58c | 2,000$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.34 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 1,795$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Iron Wing | 63c | 1,720$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed BoomBoys | 61c | 1,627$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked BoomBoys | 32c | 1,613$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.04 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing | 47c | 1,591$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.73 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…a298backed BoomBoys | 67c | 1,518$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Iron Wing | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,490$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Iron Wing | 67c | 1,490$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,478$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.22 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked BoomBoys | 56c | 1,339$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.11 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Iron Wing | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Iron Wing | 49c | 1,167$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Iron Wing | 5c | 1,158$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 1,119$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.95 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Iron Wing | 45c | 1,097$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.87 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Iron Wing | 62c | 1,090$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.03 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Iron Wing | 37c | 1,041$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.04 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoomBoys | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed BoomBoys | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Iron Wing | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Iron Wing | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked BoomBoys | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Iron Wing | 54c | 994.35$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Iron Wing | 61c | 978.39$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Iron Wing | 2c | 970.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 944.28$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Iron Wing | 43c | 937.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed BoomBoys | 50c | 921.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed BoomBoys | 62c | 901.72$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed BoomBoys | 65c | 879.45$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.49 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Iron Wing | 48c | 854.63$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 848.34$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed BoomBoys | 60c | 821.57$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed BoomBoys | 61c | 800.98$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…c0b9backed BoomBoys | 70c | 777.58$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…9fc5backed Iron Wing | 43c | 772.96$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Iron Wing | 60c | 771.06$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.18 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed BoomBoys | 60c | 769.24$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Iron Wing | 43c | 749.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BoomBoys | 56c | 749.98$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Iron Wing | 40c | 731.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed BoomBoys | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 630$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group StageBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 WinnerIron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.