Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427535a5fa5f3d84711f8f37dd77889db6c0ed9609f4177ed1638e012b3b7022

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Iron Wingof Iron Wing, Team Falcons
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,094,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,317,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,094,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons	55c	109,336$60,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,500	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing	51c	46,240$23,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,723.42	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons	57c	40,901$23,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,338.99	123	48%59 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Iron Wing	38c	33,600$12,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,832	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing	42c	30,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,399.96	476	46.4%221 W · 255 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Iron Wing	44c	29,542$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,542.36	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Falcons	39c	28,063$11,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,022.25	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-7.9wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Iron Wing	76c	27,561$20,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,567.96	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons	33c	23,612$7,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,701.68	503	47.1%237 W · 266 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Iron Wing	63c	20,693$13,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,669.72	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing	44c	19,434$8,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,820.93	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Iron Wing	50c	19,319$9,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,648.05	360	41.4%149 W · 211 L	-22.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Falcons	16c	19,100$3,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,053.98	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	11cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d36…f787backed Iron Wing	38c	17,270$6,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,731.01	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing	79c	16,897$13,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,559.45	306	67.3%206 W · 100 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing	40c	16,891$6,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,212.36	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons	43c	16,141$6,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,926.05	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Team Falcons	32c	14,525$4,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,591.42	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Falcons	39c	13,418$5,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,253.7	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing	45c	13,361$6,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,307.2	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Iron Wing	38c	12,030$4,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,399.09	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons	60c	11,748$7,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,099.8	115	47%54 W · 61 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons	15c	10,892$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,621.84	200	30.5%61 W · 139 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons	62c	10,711$6,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,652.15	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Team Falcons	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,199.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons	29c	9,762$2,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,829.72	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons	18c	9,061$1,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613.94	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Iron Wing	56c	8,736$4,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,809.69	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Iron Wing	73c	8,641$6,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,373.84	73	79.5%58 W · 15 L	+9.9wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons	38c	8,371$3,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,161.9	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons	58c	8,250$4,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,784.99	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing	43c	7,719$3,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.6	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing	42c	7,143$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,143.15	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons	12c	7,140$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.33	935	46.4%434 W · 501 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Iron Wing	63c	6,699$4,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.51	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Falcons	16c	6,628$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.18	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Iron Wing	56c	6,231$3,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,765.17	656	47.3%310 W · 346 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons	43c	6,170$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.47	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Falcons	52c	6,098$3,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,191.75	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2124…d9c3backed Team Falcons	36c	5,346$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.55	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.34per pick	51cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Team Falcons	36c	5,323$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.25	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Falcons	60c	5,320$3,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,192	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Falcons	3c	5,250$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed Team Falcons	71c	5,120$3,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,624.74	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing	49c	5,101$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600.8	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	+10.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	419	44.2%185 W · 234 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing	67c	5,000$3,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.6	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Iron Wing	46c	4,995$2,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,703.1	358	50.6%181 W · 177 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Falcons	58c	4,811$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.89	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Iron Wing	53c	4,597$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.35	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Falcons	20c	4,496$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.52	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Iron Wing	64c	4,456$2,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,604.25	255	49%125 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Iron Wing	64c	4,411$2,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.8	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing	39c	4,344$1,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,631.76	319	36.7%117 W · 202 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked Team Falcons	43c	4,201$1,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820.97	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Iron Wing	67c	4,100$2,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.33	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Iron Wing	43c	3,913$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,213.26	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Iron Wing	80c	3,821$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.99	215	58.6%126 W · 89 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Falcons	26c	3,450$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.58	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Iron Wing	72c	3,356$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.52	280	44.3%124 W · 156 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Falcons	58c	3,315$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922.65	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Team Falcons	60c	3,308$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Iron Wing	60c	3,296$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.38	226	63.3%143 W · 83 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons	62c	3,226$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons	53c	3,177$1,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.15	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Iron Wing	53c	3,106$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452.29	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed Iron Wing	68c	3,037$2,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.77	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Iron Wing	64c	2,979$1,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.33	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing	42c	2,918$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,698.82	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons	40c	2,893$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.28	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b11…c206backed Team Falcons	37c	2,856$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.42	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Iron Wing	77c	2,823$2,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.25	183	51.9%95 W · 88 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Iron Wing	63c	2,778$1,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.03	359	60.4%217 W · 142 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Iron Wing	61c	2,720$1,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons	25c	2,705$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.41	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed Iron Wing	38c	2,520$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.4	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons	24c	2,507$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	291	60.1%175 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Falcons	61c	2,481$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.51	123	35.8%44 W · 79 L	-13.7wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Falcons	62c	2,392$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.04	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Iron Wing	38c	2,382$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.47	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628f…b212backed Team Falcons	3c	2,348$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+2,654.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked Team Falcons	61c	2,317$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.26	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Iron Wing	63c	2,273$1,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.31	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…cd68backed Iron Wing	62c	2,258$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.04	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons	61c	2,177$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.17	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Iron Wing	64c	2,156$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.39	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Iron Wing	66c	2,106$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.06	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Falcons	46c	2,100$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.98	324	45.1%146 W · 178 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Iron Wing	74c	2,025$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.87	186	60.8%113 W · 73 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Iron Wing	38c	2,008$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.04	170	40.6%69 W · 101 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Falcons	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	91	22%20 W · 71 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing	43c	2,000$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Iron Wing	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.99	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.99	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Iron Wing	57c	1,996$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.7	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing	47c	1,967$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.62	325	48.9%159 W · 166 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked Team Falcons	10c	1,906$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.31	319	53.9%172 W · 147 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Iron Wing	64c	1,875$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Iron Wing	47c	1,849$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.95	503	53.9%271 W · 232 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Team Falcons	37c	1,848$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.59	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event