Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f56c904770654835da63bdfad05074913f71173b39185527f3b04be4e504b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Iron Wing, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,173,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 59c | 119,876$71,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,875.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 40c | 40,000$15,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,975.28 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 41c | 32,563$13,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,448.31 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Iron Wing | 44c | 30,570$13,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,363.95 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Iron Wing | 19c | 25,176$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Iron Wing | 17c | 17,450$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.98 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Iron Wing | 42c | 15,490$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.95 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 13,574$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 56c | 11,386$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.37 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing | 14c | 10,150$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.98 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 44c | 9,778$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.38 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 9,702$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 8,784$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.6 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing | 42c | 8,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Iron Wing | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed Team Falcons | 61c | 7,924$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 61c | 7,414$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.98 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 7,096$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons | 73c | 6,995$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.89 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Iron Wing | 37c | 6,908$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.62 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 6,467$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 6,300$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.44 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 6,289$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 6,099$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.67 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 6,051$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.39 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 6,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 5,995$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 5,807$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.15 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 5,066$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.18 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,030$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.09 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Iron Wing | 45c | 4,955$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.57 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Iron Wing | 40c | 4,939$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.64 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 4,790$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.68 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,624$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.93 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Iron Wing | 42c | 4,392$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.81 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Iron Wing | 32c | 4,345$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.46 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Iron Wing | 22c | 4,301$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Iron Wing | 48c | 4,195$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,170$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.9 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,168$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.64 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Iron Wing | 41c | 4,144$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.04 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 4,020$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.61 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,952$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.86 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Iron Wing | 45c | 3,761$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.46 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,758$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.86 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,585$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.41 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Iron Wing | 40c | 3,499$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Iron Wing | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.5 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,318$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,302$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.37 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,279$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.94 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,268$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.6 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,259$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.07 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Iron Wing | 41c | 3,094$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.6 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,000$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,983$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.35 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,949$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.57 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Iron Wing | 45c | 2,793$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,762$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.9 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,664$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.81 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,643$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.59 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Iron Wing | 41c | 2,580$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.8 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,561$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,514$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Iron Wing | 38c | 2,401$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.85 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Iron Wing | 21c | 2,392$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.36 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Iron Wing | 40c | 2,338$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.04 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,305$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,194$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.58 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,142$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.05 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Iron Wing | 38c | 2,054$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Iron Wing | 41c | 2,050$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,011$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Iron Wing | 51c | 1,999$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.24 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Iron Wing | 40c | 1,987$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.3 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,970$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.52 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Iron Wing | 1c | 1,736$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.56 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,623$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,617$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.78 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Iron Wing | 12c | 1,600$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,599$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,554$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.7 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,547$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…6089backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,529$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,504$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.82 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Iron Wing | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,483$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Iron Wing | 13c | 1,477$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,464$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.34 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.