Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109aa7a13a29905d6d2edc312f3cb7cd16aefabb168fb9fff667f2479f33808f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $850,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 56c | 110,553$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…ad1abacked Iron Wing | 75c | 24,650$18,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 16,634$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,279.66 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 15,027$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,365.91 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 12,891$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.15 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing | 46c | 12,354$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.49 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 56c | 10,540$5,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,929.08 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Iron Wing | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 10,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.87 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing | 45c | 9,936$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 27c | 9,314$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.98 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing | 12c | 8,298$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.7 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Iron Wing | 49c | 8,144$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Iron Wing | 45c | 7,200$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.6 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 6,837$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.63 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Iron Wing | 44c | 6,509$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.39 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Team Falcons | 57c | 5,280$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 5,145$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.21 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iron Wing | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Iron Wing | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Falcons | 54c | 4,855$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.95 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 76c | 4,620$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 43c | 4,611$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.76 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Team Falcons | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Team Falcons | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 4,350$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.5 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Iron Wing | 68c | 4,220$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.32 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Iron Wing | 31c | 4,022$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.26 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Iron Wing | 65c | 4,000$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.38 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.98 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Iron Wing | 16c | 3,861$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.92 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Iron Wing | 37c | 3,834$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.98 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 3,550$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Iron Wing | 68c | 3,522$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 3,413$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Iron Wing | 62c | 3,213$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.04 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Iron Wing | 71c | 3,178$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.74 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 28c | 3,122$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.58 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Iron Wing | 17c | 3,033$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.59 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Iron Wing | 68c | 2,987$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.82 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,949$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.13 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,939$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.38 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Iron Wing | 45c | 2,632$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.36 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 70c | 2,500$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.6 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Iron Wing | 37c | 2,448$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.09 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Iron Wing | 39c | 2,424$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Iron Wing | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,368$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.01 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Iron Wing | 66c | 2,200$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.72 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 27c | 2,061$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.51 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Iron Wing | 46c | 2,014$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.36 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,987$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.27 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,947$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.71 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Iron Wing | 33c | 1,907$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.92 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Iron Wing | 72c | 1,813$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.45 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,770$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.93 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,737$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.04 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,572$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.89 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,537$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Team Falcons | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Iron Wing | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 1,393$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,382$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.92 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Iron Wing | 75c | 1,340$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Iron Wing | 16c | 1,262$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.79 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,227$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.21 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,225$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.59 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Iron Wing | 32c | 1,217$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,198$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.31 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Iron Wing | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.95 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Iron Wing | 46c | 1,135$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.78 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Iron Wing | 25c | 1,132$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.67 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,087$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.42 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Iron Wing | 36c | 1,080$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,056$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.08 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Iron Wing | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.01 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 1,000$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.88 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Iron Wing | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Iron Wing | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Iron Wing | 28c | 969$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 58c | 953.79$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Iron Wing | 77c | 907.95$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 905.63$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Falcons | 23c | 903.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Team Falcons | 40c | 899.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Iron Wing | 43c | 889.65$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.1 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 878$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Iron Wing | 40c | 859.63$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.05 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 848.88$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.