Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b9c685d6c96bae6f6045a08fc0e9845bd75a65d4c02eb2a44f05e927b733acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cezar Cretuof Cezar Cretu, Niels McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Niels McDonald | 5c | 35,078$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.39 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 22,000$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.97 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cezar Cretu | 56c | 21,911$12,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,601 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 15,686$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cezar Cretu | 52c | 14,808$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,121.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Cezar Cretu | 57c | 10,660$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.52 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 10,287$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.04 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Niels McDonald | 1c | 7,112$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cezar Cretu | 64c | 6,063$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cezar Cretu | 72c | 5,700$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.78 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 4,599$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.01 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Cezar Cretu | 61c | 4,085$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Niels McDonald | 6c | 3,100$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Niels McDonald | 6c | 3,014$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…cd11backed Niels McDonald | 48c | 2,931$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 2,255$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels McDonald | 43c | 2,235$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.88 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed Niels McDonald | 41c | 1,740$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cezar Cretu | 65c | 1,719$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.28 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…081cbacked Niels McDonald | 45c | 1,402$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…8895backed Cezar Cretu | 77c | 1,305$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…e597backed Niels McDonald | 1c | 1,266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +356.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 1,231$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 1,165$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.04 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cezar Cretu | 53c | 988.19$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.74 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Cezar Cretu | 76c | 960.62$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cezar Cretu | 55c | 917.59$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.48 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Niels McDonald | 5c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Niels McDonald | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Niels McDonald | 39c | 683.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 599.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 587$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Niels McDonald | 13c | 523.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 518.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Cezar Cretu | 39c | 512.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 479.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 461.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 455.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Niels McDonald | 43c | 443.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cezar Cretu | 64c | 423.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Niels McDonald | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Niels McDonald | 7c | 388.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Cezar Cretu | 57c | 371.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…8ef4backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 357.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Niels McDonald | 8c | 314.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 312.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Niels McDonald | 11c | 290.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 282.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Niels McDonald | 40c | 275.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 268.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Niels McDonald | 14c | 262.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cezar Cretu | 61c | 255.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Cezar Cretu | 77c | 211.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cezar Cretu | 79c | 205$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Niels McDonald | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Cezar Cretu | 56c | 179.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…3e74backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 163.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Cezar Cretu | 52c | 159.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…ad06backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 155.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Cezar Cretu | 79c | 148.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 140.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 136.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cezar Cretu | 45c | 130.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 124.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Cezar Cretu | 78c | 119.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 114.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Niels McDonald | 45c | 101.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Cezar Cretu | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Niels McDonald | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 92.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Niels McDonald | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 89.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 83.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 78.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Cezar Cretu | 77c | 76.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cezar Cretu | 53c | 75.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Niels McDonald | 43c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Niels McDonald | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 60.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 58.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Niels McDonald | 55c | 54.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Cezar Cretu | 56c | 53.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cezar Cretu | 67c | 53.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Cezar Cretu | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Cezar Cretu | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Niels McDonald | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 49.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 47.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Niels McDonald | 48c | 45.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 45.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Niels McDonald | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.