Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988d762b3ab9da34efe25019114d549821149f69552e2bd3f4e8dc7ba1e6377d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof G2 Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked LOUD | 44c | 5,045$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.11 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed G2 Esports | 55c | 1,666$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.27 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed LOUD | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked LOUD | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports | 54c | 1,047$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.17 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 44c | 998.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed G2 Esports | 56c | 510$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed G2 Esports | 54c | 484.77$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed G2 Esports | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed LOUD | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 Esports | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked LOUD | 45c | 217.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…ead1backed G2 Esports | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed LOUD | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LOUD | 46c | 183.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed LOUD | 47c | 169.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed LOUD | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked LOUD | 45c | 120.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked G2 Esports | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…0becbacked G2 Esports | 53c | 113.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked G2 Esports | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed LOUD | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed G2 Esports | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed G2 Esports | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LOUD | 69c | 95.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed LOUD | 47c | 76.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked LOUD | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed G2 Esports | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed G2 Esports | 53c | 69.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed LOUD | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked G2 Esports | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed LOUD | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed G2 Esports | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked LOUD | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed LOUD | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked LOUD | 48c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed G2 Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed LOUD | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked LOUD | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed LOUD | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed LOUD | 45c | 28.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…2e05backed G2 Esports | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed LOUD | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed G2 Esports | 56c | 22.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaLOUD won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerLOUD won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.