TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a1…2e05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 50 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$12.28
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.55
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.25
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$5.45
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.16
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$4.41
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.02
Counter-Strike: Hermine Esports Club vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Hermine Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$7.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$16.11
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.7
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$6.74
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.31
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$7.28
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$5.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.