CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5aa507916a20b36457977366783ab9b1b2f6b66138ac597d4ba22789945e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Donstu Esports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 6,394$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.67 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 2,655$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.55 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Donstu Esports | 33c | 2,449$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.64 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 1,419$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.48 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 1,150$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.26 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 911.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 555.81$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.09 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 541.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.96 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 478.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.52 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 418.45$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 415.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 306.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 270.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 262.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 234.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 231.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 192.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 191.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 162.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 161.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…005dbacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 134.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 118.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 110.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 96.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 84.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 69.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Donstu Esports | 79c | 57.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 55.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 51.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 37.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…814bbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…2e05backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.