CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57cca5952f97c5f098aa07d90b42800c64cb1bc5b3b715216dbbcf790e20319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 3,278$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.64 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 2,030$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.35 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 583.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 583.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 371.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 208.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 53.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 51.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 45.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Donstu Esports | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.