CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01fd97b422d89ac931f79c0b4a3e86215482146083cf6ea55bd668d76888e0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Donstu Esports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 5,773$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.94 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 4,136$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.99 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 2,800$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.98 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 2,463$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 1,996$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.81 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 1,934$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.2 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 1,721$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 1,343$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 1,016$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 910.45$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 872.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Donstu Esports | 30c | 634$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 544.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 535.13$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 477.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.46 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 466.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 411.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Donstu Esports | 49c | 407$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 403.76$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.74 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 366.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 305.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Donstu Esports | 49c | 305.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 277.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 259.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 255.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 251.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 251.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 231.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 221.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 201.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 187.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Donstu Esports | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…4e8fbacked Donstu Esports | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Donstu Esports | 49c | 141.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Donstu Esports | 18c | 121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 93.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 87.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 86.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 80.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Donstu Esports | 21c | 80.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Donstu Esports | 22c | 75.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Donstu Esports | 33c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 71.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 64.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 63.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 60.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 58.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 42.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 39.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 38.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 32.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…e450backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 28.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…b976backed MOUZ NXT | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.