CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5458278b1d6adc4841f84eccb72eae65fd1c25df0d07efe222dbc6d00f9779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Donstu Esports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Donstu Esports | 28c | 3,154$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.29 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 2,998$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 2,930$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.57 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Donstu Esports | 17c | 1,728$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 1,156$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 1,017$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…d5f2backed Donstu Esports | 26c | 757.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 721.91$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 657.27$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Donstu Esports | 11c | 600.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 510$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 413.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 409.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 398.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 358.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 308.27$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 289.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 273.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 241.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked MOUZ NXT | 77c | 236.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 223.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Donstu Esports | 44c | 204.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…031cbacked MOUZ NXT | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 193.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 191.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…1654backed Donstu Esports | 26c | 183.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 174.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed MOUZ NXT | 76c | 169$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 156$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Donstu Esports | 25c | 149.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 147.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 105.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 99.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Donstu Esports | 18c | 91.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Donstu Esports | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Donstu Esports | 30c | 82.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ NXT | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 64.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 62.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 56.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Donstu Esports | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 46.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Donstu Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Donstu Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 35.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 35.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports | 42c | 34.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 32.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…6b24backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.