CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fea5adbcaa529281acaec8b8ac49467904930d8f453ad603b2459c86943cbcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Walczaki, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Walczaki | 35c | 6,088$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.35 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Walczaki | 39c | 4,160$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.24 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 3,152$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 594.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.72 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 564$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 15c | 441.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 15c | 368.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 365.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 25c | 328.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 314$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 25c | 284$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 38c | 277.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Walczaki | 56c | 237.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 37c | 224.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Walczaki | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 195.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 38c | 186.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 17c | 167.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki | 43c | 153.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…a4c0backed Walczaki | 30c | 130.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Walczaki | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 122.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Walczaki | 17c | 102.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 76.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 57.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed Walczaki | 66c | 48.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 39c | 44.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 43.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 42.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Walczaki | 55c | 41.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Walczaki | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 32.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Walczaki | 49c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4a…faa9backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 27.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 63c | 27.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…2e05backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Walczaki | 52c | 22.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.