CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c59e8f8142c273c8f964d2acc8fa1d2d2a864444a7e26d0af68f7e7b2f360b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Walczaki, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 3,513$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.31 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 2,207$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.99 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Walczaki | 48c | 1,419$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.72 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Walczaki | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 33c | 416.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 30c | 380.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 17c | 298.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 43c | 290$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 33c | 289.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Walczaki | 33c | 283.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Walczaki | 28c | 232.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Walczaki | 31c | 217$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed Walczaki | 51c | 182.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki | 28c | 163.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Walczaki | 25c | 101.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Walczaki | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 300 | 49.3%148 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 32c | 99.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 23c | 68.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 27c | 68.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Walczaki | 49c | 52.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Walczaki | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Walczaki | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Walczaki | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Walczaki | 41c | 39.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 33c | 33.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Walczaki | 34c | 29.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Walczaki | 44c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.