CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588c7f119c20e74e216665942c2e83f639fd19f4af60f3a4cea200667dd9c9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Walczaki, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012b…7c42backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 2,699$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.02 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Walczaki | 18c | 2,478$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.46 | 643 | 56.9%366 W · 277 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 1,661$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Walczaki | 31c | 1,541$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.45 | 533 | 42.6%227 W · 306 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC | 77c | 1,126$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki | 31c | 1,043$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.26 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki | 22c | 827.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Walczaki | 58c | 801.5$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.87 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 61c | 613.66$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 1,680 | 53.2%893 W · 787 L | +65.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Walczaki | 14c | 607.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1,613 | 29.6%478 W · 1,135 L | -90.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…8475backed Walczaki | 33c | 555.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 45c | 498.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 482.85$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.15 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 13c | 449.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 78c | 441.53$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Walczaki | 46c | 438.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Walczaki | 59c | 416.82$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.76 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 358.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 786 | 34%267 W · 519 L | -49.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 323$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 556 | 34.7%193 W · 363 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Walczaki | 34c | 294.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Walczaki | 10c | 255.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 911 | 31%282 W · 629 L | -63.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Walczaki | 64c | 249.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 401 | 57.4%230 W · 171 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…e4abbacked Walczaki | 11c | 244.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki | 28c | 199.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 15c | 195.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 194.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 500 | 54.6%273 W · 227 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 37c | 184.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 177.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Walczaki | 37c | 143.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 365 | 41.6%152 W · 213 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 134.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 780 | 52.8%412 W · 368 L | +28.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1,096 | 37.6%412 W · 684 L | +34.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Walczaki | 42c | 118.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 767 | 48.2%370 W · 397 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki | 18c | 118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 116.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Walczaki | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 12c | 96.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Walczaki | 37c | 91.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 90.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Walczaki | 46c | 85.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 85.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…aecebacked ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 84.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 76.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 66c | 75.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 447 | 54.8%245 W · 202 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 17c | 73.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Walczaki | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 233 | 56.7%132 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Walczaki | 62c | 67.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Walczaki | 41c | 58.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 398 | 38.4%153 W · 245 L | -18.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 56.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 47c | 55.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…1075backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 43.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 41.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 769 | 45.9%353 W · 416 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 41c | 40.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Walczaki | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 281 | 50.9%143 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Walczaki | 30c | 36.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…5506backed Walczaki | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,683 | 47%791 W · 892 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Walczaki | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 365 | 49.9%182 W · 183 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.