TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twisted Minds Orchidof Gentle Mates GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c98…186dbacked Gentle Mates GC69c2,134$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.556946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c1,731$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.9719860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Twisted Minds Orchid36c947.58$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.8629733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Gentle Mates GC70c719.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked Gentle Mates GC68c699.99$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c499.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Gentle Mates GC68c469.54$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid32c399.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Gentle Mates GC68c383.85$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.026050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c369$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.613046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e7…a100backed Gentle Mates GC68c340$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c339.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6412149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…0ffebacked Gentle Mates GC68c282.91$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Gentle Mates GC69c271.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.522040%8 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf8ee…3014backed Gentle Mates GC38c267.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid64c266.66$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.131,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed Twisted Minds Orchid37c248.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.873342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Twisted Minds Orchid33c243.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5513043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c224.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates GC34c220.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.341,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Gentle Mates GC68c187.18$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9163955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Twisted Minds Orchid33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8213148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Twisted Minds Orchid29c178.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Twisted Minds Orchid41c175$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed Gentle Mates GC47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.93748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Twisted Minds Orchid35c166.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates GC11c164.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Twisted Minds Orchid67c162.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3749255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Gentle Mates GC68c157$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.761850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Gentle Mates GC13c156.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates GC69c156.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.081,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid42c151.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Twisted Minds Orchid28c143.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Twisted Minds Orchid35c142.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6417642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Gentle Mates GC65c141.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3619551.3%100 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates GC20c132.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c130.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5611442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid61c130$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf2…d024backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c124.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.782937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gentle Mates GC14c122.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed Twisted Minds Orchid33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.216544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Twisted Minds Orchid33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2113243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates GC70c120.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.551,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates GC65c115.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Gentle Mates GC26c110.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.216144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Gentle Mates GC69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.925843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked Gentle Mates GC68c108$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates GC26c104$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Gentle Mates GC62c103.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2822440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed Gentle Mates GC69c102.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.753834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Twisted Minds Orchid30c101.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.822346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Gentle Mates GC69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6940254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c98.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.163447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Twisted Minds Orchid60c98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c96.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.938349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid49c95.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.291,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Twisted Minds Orchid32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Gentle Mates GC68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1234443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Gentle Mates GC67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.958240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc79b…b9eebacked Gentle Mates GC70c82.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Gentle Mates GC64c80.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.336454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Gentle Mates GC49c79.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0918647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Gentle Mates GC25c72.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2730835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Twisted Minds Orchid34c69.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8465347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Gentle Mates GC68c69.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5213446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Twisted Minds Orchid31c66.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1760154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Twisted Minds Orchid30c66.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6517948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Gentle Mates GC70c64.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.436952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Twisted Minds Orchid76c63.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2210151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Gentle Mates GC67c61.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.46per pick57cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Twisted Minds Orchid33c60.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Gentle Mates GC71c59.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5666650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Gentle Mates GC70c55.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1628252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Gentle Mates GC70c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Gentle Mates GC68c54.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates GC26c52.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6490733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3241…cca8backed Gentle Mates GC68c51.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.682445.8%11 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-29.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Twisted Minds Orchid32c49.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6833753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c41.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9413661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid35c35.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9210061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates GC31c35.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8531634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid51c33.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2774642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Twisted Minds Orchid31c33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7743843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Gentle Mates GC68c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.076261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gentle Mates GC70c30.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce3…316dbacked Gentle Mates GC42c30.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Gentle Mates GC48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6558…e299backed Gentle Mates GC68c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Gentle Mates GC68c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.928143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Gentle Mates GC67c27.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1317853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Gentle Mates GC67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.758641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a1…2e05backed Twisted Minds Orchid71c23.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Gentle Mates GC70c21.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Twisted Minds Orchid54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fd…5efabacked Gentle Mates GC66c17.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Gentle Mates GC69c14.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.