TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcce3…316d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Valorant — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.85
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.77
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.29
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.8
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.2
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.76
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stagebacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.5
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.31
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.62
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$393
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$168.05
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.57
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.18
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$51.4
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$33.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$72.11
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.57
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$13.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.