Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a515acdf58e28563c60ccc246137fef4fbafbe5ed1f144f9534c61e14ae2372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof SK Nebula, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa4…5dc8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 33c | 4,940$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Nebula | 65c | 2,322$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.31 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 1,416$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.38 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…2a58backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 36c | 1,385$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.35 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked SK Nebula | 57c | 943.81$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 36c | 906.06$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.08 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed SK Nebula | 58c | 802.82$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 768.52$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed SK Nebula | 61c | 766.97$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked SK Nebula | 61c | 696.41$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.06 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 35c | 661.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 608.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.96 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 525.82$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 471.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed SK Nebula | 68c | 441.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 441.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Nebula | 38c | 420.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SK Nebula | 68c | 402$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 366.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Nebula | 62c | 352.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 340.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked SK Nebula | 68c | 306.6$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 33c | 303.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Nebula | 65c | 300.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…fbfcbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 294.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed SK Nebula | 67c | 292.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed SK Nebula | 68c | 278$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…f7c4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 42c | 274.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed SK Nebula | 61c | 251.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed SK Nebula | 41c | 243.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 241.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…0103backed SK Nebula | 62c | 231.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked SK Nebula | 44c | 219.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked SK Nebula | 47c | 212.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 202.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SK Nebula | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 193.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed SK Nebula | 68c | 186$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 39c | 181.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 50c | 180.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked SK Nebula | 59c | 167.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 49c | 163.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SK Nebula | 68c | 161$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed SK Nebula | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 47c | 159.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 159.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 37c | 158$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed SK Nebula | 68c | 156.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 39c | 153.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed SK Nebula | 46c | 152.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 47c | 150.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed SK Nebula | 65c | 148.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked SK Nebula | 62c | 141.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed SK Nebula | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SK Nebula | 63c | 135.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 123.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked SK Nebula | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 39c | 120.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SK Nebula | 57c | 119.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 50c | 119.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d024backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 117.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 52c | 117.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked SK Nebula | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 112.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 111.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Nebula | 68c | 110.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 52c | 109.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 54c | 107.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 104.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SK Nebula | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed SK Nebula | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed SK Nebula | 55c | 98.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula | 37c | 97.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked SK Nebula | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed SK Nebula | 50c | 83.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Nebula | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 73.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SK Nebula | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 33c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SK Nebula | 64c | 61.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 54c | 60.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed SK Nebula | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SK Nebula | 68c | 58.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Nebula | 64c | 56.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed SK Nebula | 64c | 55.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed SK Nebula | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 55c | 54.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed SK Nebula | 67c | 53.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085f…7a21backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 36c | 53.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…ba78backed SK Nebula | 57c | 52.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 36c | 52.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 1 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.