Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e05fcb60f13d8df7aef9a624ecca0dc5b417594de697d03618a7de20c73b336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof Twisted Minds Orchid, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Habos Babos | 45c | 686.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.51 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Habos Babos | 50c | 560.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 30c | 418.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Habos Babos | 42c | 377.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Habos Babos | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Habos Babos | 53c | 347.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Habos Babos | 40c | 333$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 329.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…0967backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 320.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 42c | 306.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 284.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Habos Babos | 50c | 238.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 217.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 211$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 188.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 57c | 180.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habos Babos | 51c | 178.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Habos Babos | 36c | 163.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed Habos Babos | 71c | 157.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Habos Babos | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Habos Babos | 41c | 148.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Habos Babos | 59c | 124.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 30c | 121.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 117$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 111.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…0197backed Habos Babos | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 34c | 105.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed Habos Babos | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Habos Babos | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 32c | 91.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Habos Babos | 62c | 80.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Habos Babos | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 59c | 75.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Habos Babos | 47c | 74.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…4847backed Habos Babos | 60c | 73.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Habos Babos | 54c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 32c | 72.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Habos Babos | 80c | 68.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Habos Babos | 38c | 62.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce3…316dbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 48c | 61.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…15c6backed Habos Babos | 43c | 57.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 56.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 55.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Habos Babos | 61c | 55.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habos Babos | 35c | 54.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Habos Babos | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 43.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 42.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Habos Babos | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Habos Babos | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 60c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Habos Babos | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 27.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Habos Babos | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Habos Babos | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 59c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.