Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f4bc4add75bb4161f4e2c1ed99f5334b183eb6e7d87b3aa61de3cf775123ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof Twisted Minds Orchid, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 513.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.27 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Habos Babos | 37c | 417.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…0967backed Habos Babos | 49c | 406.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 21c | 383.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 42c | 212.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 184.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 58c | 145$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Habos Babos | 42c | 118.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Habos Babos | 61c | 104.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 68c | 82.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Habos Babos | 30c | 73.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 55c | 53.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 52.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Habos Babos | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 49c | 32.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageHabos Babos won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.