Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c4815f751ee511fa319e3c781a872bcb43c76fd73a209801343bbfbb06519f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof Twisted Minds Orchid, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Habos Babos | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 674.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habos Babos | 37c | 200.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Habos Babos | 27c | 191.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Habos Babos | 54c | 158.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 54c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Habos Babos | 60c | 113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Habos Babos | 57c | 106.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 38c | 81.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Habos Babos | 58c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Habos Babos | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 30c | 54.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Habos Babos | 57c | 49.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Habos Babos | 37c | 41.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 30.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Habos Babos | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageHabos Babos won
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.