CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fa697836f476ac52d624e6bd433da11d2874d5e9ee0421defb8fa2a94b9cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked NIP | 55c | 54,995$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,994.84 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked 100 Thieves | 0c | 50,212$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.96 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 52c | 16,340$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,915.47 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 15,051$7,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,619.94 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NIP | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.17 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed NIP | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 6,591$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.53 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 6,588$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.01 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 46c | 6,534$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.78 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed NIP | 58c | 5,424$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.74 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP | 60c | 5,405$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.02 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 5,320$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.4 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 5,242$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.15 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 4,902$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 54c | 4,859$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.23 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 4,787$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 4,762$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.69 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,279$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.17 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…10fbbacked NIP | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked NIP | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 3,582$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.04 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 3,516$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.62 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 3,485$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed NIP | 53c | 3,220$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.03 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 2,683$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.31 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed NIP | 53c | 2,670$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,645$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.49 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 2,563$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 54c | 2,500$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.7 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,427$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.53 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed NIP | 76c | 2,400$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NIP | 52c | 2,073$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.08 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 2,028$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.95 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 55c | 1,928$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.61 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 53c | 1,890$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.39 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,810$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 64c | 1,800$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.43 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,728$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked NIP | 67c | 1,700$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.99 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,581$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.83 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 1,510$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 57c | 1,435$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 53c | 1,428$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.56 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,372$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.24 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 51c | 1,311$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 1,301$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.07 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…861dbacked NIP | 51c | 1,294$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked NIP | 66c | 1,241$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.59 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked NIP | 54c | 1,189$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.66 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed NIP | 59c | 1,184$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.81 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.74 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked NIP | 55c | 1,153$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.73 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,149$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,126$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.75 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed NIP | 47c | 1,125$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,124$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked NIP | 52c | 1,104$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.74 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed NIP | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked NIP | 56c | 1,077$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.94 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 45c | 1,073$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed NIP | 56c | 1,063$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.92 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 1,050$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.49 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed NIP | 57c | 1,026$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed NIP | 32c | 1,017$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.65 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,012$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…0ee6backed NIP | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 998.3$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.55 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked NIP | 50c | 997.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.88 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 946.29$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.37 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked NIP | 55c | 919.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed NIP | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 56c | 892.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 53c | 887.97$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed NIP | 61c | 881.94$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 864.67$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 856.55$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.11 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed NIP | 54c | 814$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 808.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 806.82$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 799.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 52c | 794.2$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 790.98$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.85 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 780$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 777$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed NIP | 52c | 769.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 762.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked NIP | 53c | 749.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.49 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed NIP | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 733.58$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed NIP | 50c | 728.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed NIP | 55c | 727$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.