CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd52b760c136959d92e6905c2f8528102bf9e83b58a8aab6f440dab86cbb8091

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 100 Thievesof NIP, 100 Thieves
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $193,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $219,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,972 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked NIP	32c	28,107$9,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,012.61	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves	62c	21,525$13,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,080.81	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed NIP	16c	13,650$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,204.4	211	35.5%75 W · 136 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked NIP	48c	6,254$3,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.99	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed 100 Thieves	52c	6,166$3,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,959.76	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves	61c	5,829$3,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.18	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 100 Thieves	58c	5,555$3,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.1	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP	48c	2,222$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked NIP	26c	2,075$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.37	222	41.4%92 W · 130 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NIP	18c	1,953$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.14	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed 100 Thieves	77c	1,780$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.99	123	53.7%66 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves	56c	1,600$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.99	359	53.2%191 W · 168 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP	34c	1,449$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves	57c	1,434$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.41	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP	59c	1,256$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.96	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP	42c	1,189$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.72	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed NIP	40c	1,064$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.25	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP	23c	1,000$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.79	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves	65c	999.99$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.71	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP	29c	896$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.23	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP	29c	876$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.4	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves	58c	855$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves	61c	816.41$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.41	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP	38c	767.82$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.1	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves	66c	750$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257	364	46.7%170 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NIP	27c	727.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves	60c	661.22$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.83	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed NIP	20c	645$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NIP	39c	589.65$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.03	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves	79c	582.22$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.38	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP	36c	545.21$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.05	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP	38c	532.97$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.17	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed NIP	29c	516.58$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	279	61.3%171 W · 108 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed NIP	47c	504.61$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.26	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed 100 Thieves	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	321	36.8%118 W · 203 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 100 Thieves	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked NIP	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed NIP	44c	500$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.55	170	54.7%93 W · 77 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed 100 Thieves	56c	487.85$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.99	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed 100 Thieves	56c	463.45$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 100 Thieves	60c	449.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.2	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed NIP	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	32.5%49 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed NIP	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed 100 Thieves	61c	329.39$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.39	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked NIP	18c	318.01$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.67	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed 100 Thieves	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed NIP	35c	288.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.59	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked NIP	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed NIP	35c	282.89$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked NIP	35c	282.42$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.74	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves	72c	267.88$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.71	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP	13c	250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	138	34.8%48 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP	27c	246.16$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed 100 Thieves	55c	237.82$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.02	127	48%61 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves	76c	230.78$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed NIP	39c	229.15$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.37	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed NIP	43c	227.11$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP	33c	225$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked NIP	26c	216.38$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP	37c	213$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.14	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP	25c	208$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP	40c	184.22$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.42	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed NIP	16c	183.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	92	43.5%40 W · 52 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed 100 Thieves	56c	181.64$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.4	260	48.5%126 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…7518backed NIP	12c	178.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.26	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 100 Thieves	68c	163.47$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.45	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed NIP	48c	154.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	374	53.2%199 W · 175 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves	64c	149$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked NIP	42c	142.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NIP	25c	138.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed 100 Thieves	59c	122.95$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.64	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked 100 Thieves	72c	119.16$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.26	656	62.3%409 W · 247 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked NIP	40c	104.85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed NIP	41c	103.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked 100 Thieves	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked NIP	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed NIP	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed NIP	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	428	31.3%134 W · 294 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed 100 Thieves	67c	97.8$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed 100 Thieves	52c	95.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.71	240	47.9%115 W · 125 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP	29c	94.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed 100 Thieves	56c	87.55$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.52	194	49%95 W · 99 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves	58c	80.17$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.67	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.93	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked NIP	16c	79.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed 100 Thieves	73c	76.34$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…f885backed 100 Thieves	65c	75.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed NIP	34c	69.32$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked 100 Thieves	65c	69$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	210	60%126 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NIP	28c	66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	618	37.9%234 W · 384 L	-22.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NIP	28c	60.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.12	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked 100 Thieves	52c	60.44$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.01	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed 100 Thieves	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked 100 Thieves	55c	59.43$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.74	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed NIP	43c	58.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	163	55.2%90 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec7…a3bfbacked 100 Thieves	67c	58.02$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.02	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	74cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed 100 Thieves	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	242	60.3%146 W · 96 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed 100 Thieves	58c	57.38$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	130	63.1%82 W · 48 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed NIP	27c	56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	587	45%264 W · 323 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group DNIP won
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event