CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8d865a57df57fa3d860d981a76d3982d5eadf884a3d6ba96afb3c448cba2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 9,497$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.09 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 55c | 8,295$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.27 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 6,979$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.82 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed NIP | 53c | 5,056$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.93 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed NIP | 60c | 4,910$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 4,872$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.77 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 4,288$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.3 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 3,669$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked NIP | 56c | 3,549$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.28 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 60c | 3,004$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.69 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,860$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.58 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 2,561$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.07 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,113$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,034$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.95 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed NIP | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.25 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 1,813$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.51 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 76c | 1,626$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed NIP | 53c | 1,430$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.1 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed NIP | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 59c | 1,250$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed NIP | 70c | 1,227$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,193$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.55 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked NIP | 48c | 1,178$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.41 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 1,152$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed NIP | 60c | 1,039$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,020$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked NIP | 60c | 983.33$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 53c | 944.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.48 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 926.77$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 870.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked NIP | 60c | 780.2$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 759.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 754.57$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed NIP | 60c | 645.45$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed NIP | 64c | 629.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed NIP | 59c | 620.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed NIP | 53c | 595.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 570.83$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed NIP | 44c | 544.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.19 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed NIP | 47c | 532.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 532.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 56c | 496.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 495.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NIP | 48c | 487.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 481.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 478.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 470$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 452.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked NIP | 53c | 444.44$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 440$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 429.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 413.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 410.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed NIP | 68c | 378.15$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 369.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed NIP | 48c | 352.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 315$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 49c | 307.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 271.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 58c | 259.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 62c | 252.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 239.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 76c | 233.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 227.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed NIP | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 213.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 69c | 207.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 205.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 201.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 191.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 181.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 73c | 174.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 173.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed NIP | 76c | 169.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed NIP | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked NIP | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked NIP | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…f885backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 163.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…42c5backed NIP | 53c | 156.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked NIP | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed NIP | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 146$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed NIP | 65c | 145.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 144.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed NIP | 52c | 133.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group DNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.