Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b75ac6765fb4c53c54503cdcf032da5052ea8e6ac429c8d001997fc465bf57

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MIBRof MIBR, Team Envy
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e15…7531backed MIBR	55c	2,550$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.95	333	48.3%161 W · 172 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Envy	46c	2,230$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.01	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Team Envy	44c	1,177$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Envy	43c	1,111$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.71	339	42.2%143 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Team Envy	44c	909.09$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-7.2wins	-0.33per pick	46cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed MIBR	56c	711.37$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.37	34	50%17 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MIBR	54c	641.37$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.03	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked MIBR	56c	413.64$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed MIBR	57c	350$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcce3…316dbacked Team Envy	46c	333.96$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.62	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-6.1wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed MIBR	56c	303.2$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.41	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked MIBR	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Envy	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed MIBR	57c	228.07$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.07	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Envy	45c	223.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed MIBR	55c	221.82$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.82	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Team Envy	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	238	47.9%114 W · 124 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4237…afe7backed MIBR	57c	207.02$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.02	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Envy	44c	196.87$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed MIBR	55c	177.03$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	201	60.2%121 W · 80 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Envy	45c	175.53$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked MIBR	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked MIBR	55c	170$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed MIBR	55c	163.64$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.64	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked MIBR	55c	163.19$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.68	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked MIBR	56c	161.72$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.72	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed MIBR	58c	153.21$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.35	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked MIBR	54c	130$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked MIBR	55c	122.98$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.93	164	51.8%85 W · 79 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Team Envy	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Team Envy	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…e430backed MIBR	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Envy	45c	106.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.12	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked MIBR	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked MIBR	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Team Envy	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Team Envy	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked MIBR	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Envy	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Envy	44c	67.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed MIBR	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Team Envy	43c	54.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Envy	43c	52.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed MIBR	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	251	46.6%117 W · 134 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Envy	32c	49.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Team Envy	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Team Envy	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Envy	41c	37.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked MIBR	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	203	47.3%96 W · 107 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Team Envy	48c	34.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Envy	48c	34.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Team Envy	41c	27.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked MIBR	70c	25.07$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Envy	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Envy	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Team Envy	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)MIBR won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs Team Envy (+9.5)Team Envy won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaMIBR won
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event