TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Young Ninjasof ex-RUSTEC, ex-Young Ninjas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked ex-RUSTEC56c10,456$5,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,832.143834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC58c2,396$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.055,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ex-Young Ninjas45c1,695$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.461,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed ex-Young Ninjas38c1,600$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99222943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked ex-Young Ninjas44c1,247$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-Young Ninjas43c1,228$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5175245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ex-Young Ninjas44c1,058$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.841,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed ex-Young Ninjas45c817$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed ex-Young Ninjas44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4512748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ex-RUSTEC4c735$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Young Ninjas44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.862,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed ex-Young Ninjas44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8225747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC47c576.37$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.452,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed ex-Young Ninjas43c507.23$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0515948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC34c495.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.253,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Young Ninjas46c390$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed ex-Young Ninjas44c384.09$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0921949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked ex-Young Ninjas42c343.4$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8724746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ex-Young Ninjas41c329$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1127940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ex-Young Ninjas46c307.08$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8542154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed ex-RUSTEC46c305$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.835848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ex-Young Ninjas44c273.4$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.11,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed ex-RUSTEC55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.54151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Young Ninjas50c245$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.551,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.62,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed ex-Young Ninjas46c216.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.669450%47 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Young Ninjas41c210.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1991945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed ex-Young Ninjas41c210.31$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0821752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked ex-Young Ninjas44c202.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6325042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-RUSTEC54c202.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.368461.9%52 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked ex-RUSTEC48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10831749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed ex-Young Ninjas50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed ex-Young Ninjas47c195.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7415347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed ex-Young Ninjas44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.826753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed ex-Young Ninjas37c181.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.088637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC54c181$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.913,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked ex-Young Ninjas29c178.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4514544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ex-Young Ninjas41c178.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0535839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.754,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked ex-Young Ninjas46c161.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9410444.2%46 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked ex-Young Ninjas39c157.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.195738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed ex-Young Ninjas48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.259047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-Young Ninjas39c141.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8419035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC8c136.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.382,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Young Ninjas49c123.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.352,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ex-Young Ninjas46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.439338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked ex-RUSTEC46c114.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-Young Ninjas42c112$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.472,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-RUSTEC46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-Young Ninjas58c104.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.542,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed ex-RUSTEC57c103.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.95244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed ex-RUSTEC50c101.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.754242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed ex-RUSTEC63c92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0533949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed ex-Young Ninjas44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9126048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-Young Ninjas28c84.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4d…6211backed ex-RUSTEC62c81.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed ex-RUSTEC49c78.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.264050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed ex-Young Ninjas64c76.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7140457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb9…bfecbacked ex-Young Ninjas70c73.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC54c71.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed ex-Young Ninjas42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.67339.7%29 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed ex-Young Ninjas44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.186741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed ex-Young Ninjas44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.186937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC52c67.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.474,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d1c…6b60backed ex-Young Ninjas47c63.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.756346%29 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked ex-Young Ninjas55c63.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.398765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked ex-Young Ninjas49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2228454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Young Ninjas43c54.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.962,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed ex-RUSTEC57c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.787052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed ex-Young Ninjas45c49.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4411557.4%66 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed ex-Young Ninjas44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.459044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked ex-RUSTEC32c42.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6511551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Young Ninjas46c40.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.863,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Young Ninjas57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked ex-Young Ninjas44c38.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed ex-RUSTEC46c34.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9470042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed ex-Young Ninjas44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.097345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked ex-Young Ninjas74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7810254.9%56 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-RUSTEC53c30.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.111,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e3…de04backed ex-Young Ninjas55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.494250%21 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e92…d3d6backed ex-Young Ninjas54c29.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed ex-RUSTEC53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3710142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed ex-RUSTEC54c27.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed ex-Young Ninjas75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6732361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed ex-RUSTEC57c25.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8140666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC49c24.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.893,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked ex-Young Ninjas44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.732842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ex-Young Ninjas47c21.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…321ebacked ex-Young Ninjas72c19.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a1…2e05backed ex-Young Ninjas73c16.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.