TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Young Ninjasof ex-RUSTEC, ex-Young Ninjas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC37c8,450$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.391,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed ex-Young Ninjas73c5,999$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.6119057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Young Ninjas56c5,568$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.87,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC59c2,980$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.695,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked ex-RUSTEC50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed ex-RUSTEC69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9935953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Young Ninjas74c1,597$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.445,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed ex-RUSTEC45c1,555$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.2223356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ex-Young Ninjas54c1,102$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked ex-Young Ninjas50c1,026$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9512343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ex-Young Ninjas43c968.43$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.011,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-Young Ninjas67c903.05$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ex-RUSTEC27c700.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.542,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed ex-RUSTEC33c694$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC33c622.19$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7740264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked ex-Young Ninjas36c560.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.714934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC26c547.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.114,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Young Ninjas54c515.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.651,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked ex-Young Ninjas41c509.6$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed ex-Young Ninjas41c505.26$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29815948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ex-RUSTEC33c501$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.331,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed ex-RUSTEC49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24516542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ex-Young Ninjas74c466.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed ex-Young Ninjas56c451$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-Young Ninjas62c431.91$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16375245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed ex-RUSTEC32c399.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12729543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUSTEC40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed ex-Young Ninjas38c345$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.914248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ex-Young Ninjas43c320.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed ex-RUSTEC37c271.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed ex-Young Ninjas39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4132344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC32c255.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.22,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x92fe…e095backed ex-RUSTEC27c255.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.941241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked ex-Young Ninjas40c255.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.015738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed ex-Young Ninjas29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.231749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked ex-Young Ninjas66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2730223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked ex-Young Ninjas56c219.78$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-Young Ninjas70c203.73$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.88461.9%52 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed ex-RUSTEC37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410446.2%48 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed ex-Young Ninjas56c183.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9441853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed ex-RUSTEC60c154.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.763145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed ex-Young Ninjas42c134.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed ex-RUSTEC36c130.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed ex-RUSTEC35c127.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510626.4%28 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-Young Ninjas57c126$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1920742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Young Ninjas41c121.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed ex-RUSTEC67c116$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.724558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Young Ninjas67c115.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.471,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC46c112.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.662,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC31c110.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.064,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUSTEC43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-Young Ninjas41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ex-Young Ninjas41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5921750.7%110 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed ex-Young Ninjas52c96.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.512352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Young Ninjas64c96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.252,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed ex-RUSTEC32c92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.546145.9%28 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked ex-Young Ninjas50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC39c88.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.942,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed ex-Young Ninjas56c86.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9124152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed ex-Young Ninjas50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4030939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed ex-Young Ninjas60c76.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7940457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-Young Ninjas34c74.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.242,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e03…50f7backed ex-RUSTEC29c68.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUSTEC28c68.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.782,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC45c67.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5661054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2a…dbcebacked ex-RUSTEC30c54.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Young Ninjas71c53.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.643,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed ex-RUSTEC58c52.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4513449.3%66 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUSTEC44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-Young Ninjas40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-Young Ninjas34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ex-RUSTEC23c49.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de1…e01bbacked ex-Young Ninjas29c44.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC38c35.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x761d…f16dbacked ex-Young Ninjas38c33.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852552%13 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8c…8672backed ex-RUSTEC34c33.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed ex-RUSTEC45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUSTEC34c29.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed ex-RUSTEC64c29.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8140666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked ex-Young Ninjas60c27.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0311551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUSTEC47c26.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3867547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked ex-Young Ninjas63c25.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-Young Ninjas76c24.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed ex-Young Ninjas64c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.439354.8%51 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC58c22.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed ex-Young Ninjas55c22.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1436856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Young Ninjas77c21.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.963,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08bf…c637backed ex-RUSTEC58c21.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-Young Ninjas77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-Young Ninjas56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.852,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed ex-Young Ninjas68c15.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.811764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed ex-RUSTEC67c15.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0711656%65 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed ex-Young Ninjas72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9217444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.