TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ex-Young Ninjasof ex-RUSTEC, ex-Young Ninjas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC38c6,210$2,332 inLost-$2,331.995,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ex-Young Ninjas62c4,372$2,690 inWon+$1,682.091,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked ex-Young Ninjas63c826.99$525 inWon+$302.19537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked ex-Young Ninjas57c700.54$402 inWon+$298.545738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed ex-Young Ninjas68c500$340 inWon+$16015948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUSTEC42c300.92$128 inLost-$127.5599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked ex-Young Ninjas62c285$177 inWon+$108.324746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed ex-Young Ninjas64c217.81$139 inWon+$78.414841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed ex-Young Ninjas57c210$120 inWon+$90.361948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUSTEC43c200$86 inLost-$8664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed ex-Young Ninjas61c190.08$116 inWon+$73.7416754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ex-Young Ninjas60c98.31$59 inWon+$39.321,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked ex-RUSTEC41c72.86$30 inLost-$29.8716235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUSTEC42c67.74$28 inLost-$28.451,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-Young Ninjas65c56.4$37 inWon+$19.662,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.