TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ZETA DIVISIONof ZETA DIVISION, Xipto Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked ZETA DIVISION56c40,815$23,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,800.6217948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Xipto Esports43c21,242$9,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,133.9428955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed ZETA DIVISION57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked ZETA DIVISION56c8,761$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Xipto Esports44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52010455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Xipto Esports44c6,370$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Xipto Esports43c6,066$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.221030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Xipto Esports44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Xipto Esports43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Xipto Esports43c3,721$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60025660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed ZETA DIVISION58c2,257$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Xipto Esports44c1,835$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.213642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Xipto Esports43c1,627$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.614161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Xipto Esports44c1,534$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked ZETA DIVISION56c1,400$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6107954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Xipto Esports44c1,395$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.885962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ZETA DIVISION57c1,319$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.6428743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Xipto Esports47c1,255$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Xipto Esports28c1,182$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8749255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Xipto Esports44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Xipto Esports44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed ZETA DIVISION56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed ZETA DIVISION53c868.92$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Xipto Esports39c839.87$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7113951.1%71 W · 68 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57ae…9e60backed ZETA DIVISION60c833.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xipto Esports27c743.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4654342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Xipto Esports44c683.81$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8825556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ZETA DIVISION73c659.51$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cf…be46backed ZETA DIVISION62c646.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Xipto Esports35c605.51$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.511,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed ZETA DIVISION53c563.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.264434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed ZETA DIVISION57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.324860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed ZETA DIVISION57c515.12$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.58357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed ZETA DIVISION57c514.42$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.26443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ZETA DIVISION57c448.25$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0570043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed ZETA DIVISION56c444.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7228541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed ZETA DIVISION38c407$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.319046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Xipto Esports44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Xipto Esports44c388.86$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed ZETA DIVISION58c362.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0719847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Xipto Esports42c362.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0755152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Xipto Esports42c357.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.326447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed ZETA DIVISION57c357.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.574759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Xipto Esports41c353.38$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3157151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed ZETA DIVISION57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc09b…d784backed Xipto Esports44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed ZETA DIVISION53c341.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.636746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Xipto Esports43c339.53$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed ZETA DIVISION59c329.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9339646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked ZETA DIVISION63c319.85$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7511044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed ZETA DIVISION57c309.05$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8933346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Xipto Esports47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Xipto Esports30c298$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.236235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed ZETA DIVISION65c277.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.41650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Xipto Esports53c276.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2916033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed ZETA DIVISION52c274.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7425245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked Xipto Esports44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ZETA DIVISION63c271.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7815147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Xipto Esports21c265.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.95937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed ZETA DIVISION58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.627749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Xipto Esports32c219$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1335331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b28…bf9fbacked Xipto Esports34c217.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.541747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ZETA DIVISION56c210.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Xipto Esports16c203$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.913627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0109…7d9bbacked Xipto Esports44c193.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…5d92backed Xipto Esports45c191.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Xipto Esports34c182.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.429238%35 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Xipto Esports44c181.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Xipto Esports44c181.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.892560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked Xipto Esports57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Xipto Esports42c175$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked ZETA DIVISION57c174.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4813043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Xipto Esports43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…01ecbacked ZETA DIVISION56c168.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked ZETA DIVISION47c168.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2419751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ZETA DIVISION65c166.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.061,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed ZETA DIVISION54c152.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7914959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed ZETA DIVISION75c148.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.639439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked Xipto Esports35c141.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.524445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed ZETA DIVISION79c140.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Xipto Esports41c140.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1381134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ZETA DIVISION74c138$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8823732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Xipto Esports21c135.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.357433.8%25 W · 49 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ZETA DIVISION56c134.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0218143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Xipto Esports39c127.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Xipto Esports38c127.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Xipto Esports45c124.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.121457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Xipto Esports22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Xipto Esports43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Xipto Esports43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Xipto Esports43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ZETA DIVISION61c111.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ZETA DIVISION64c110.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8751749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Xipto Esports17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a18…dac8backed ZETA DIVISION49c105.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.598055%44 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Xipto Esports48c104.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Xipto Esports43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4338950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Xipto Esports44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Xipto Esports23c98.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.171,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e3…2216backed ZETA DIVISION40c96.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.014673.9%34 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.