TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd369…9b9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Ruse (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.26
Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Estevez (+1.5)backed Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.73
Set Handicap: McDonald (-1.5) vs Cretu (+1.5)backed Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.58
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$48.12
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Set Handicap: Passaro (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)backed McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$66.15
Set Handicap: Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$31.17
Set Handicap: Maria (-1.5) vs Paolini (+1.5)backed Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Set Handicap: Kyrgios (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.93
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.81
Set Handicap: Glinka (-1.5) vs Coppejans (+1.5)backed Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.94
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$8.11
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.66
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)backed Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set Handicap: Li (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5)backed Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$5.26
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.36
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$23.79
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.94
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.05
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.33
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$101.2
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$358.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$12.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.