Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00676fb465a0a2e4357748aeb2c5693d29e7585dad327ad281bf5964dc6da815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 1c | 2,999$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 1,609$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 727.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 726.66$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 509.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 37c | 431.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 320.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 251.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 65c | 244.71$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked No | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 62c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 37c | 195.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed No | 64c | 175.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 167.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…62f8backed Yes | 8c | 137.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 36c | 134.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f8cdbacked No | 62c | 116.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 105.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 100.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…c2b7backed No | 62c | 97.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 62c | 95.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed No | 64c | 86.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 79.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 64c | 77.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 67c | 46.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 43.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 36c | 41.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 64c | 39.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…0160backed No | 63c | 33.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…2925backed No | 64c | 31.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…67edbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.