TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,488 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes76c15,454$11,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c14,544$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,350.283,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes78c8,793$6,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes40c6,400$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.964050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c5,883$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.1776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c4,031$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.7884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c4,005$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.972,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes38c3,964$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.849748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Yes36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.972425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c1,513$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c1,495$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.4733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No46c1,492$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.6121835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c1,148$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.2725157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed No7c1,111$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes39c1,000$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No16c942.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.42,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No62c750$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.732161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes36c646.63$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2538247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes36c555.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.445850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No10c509.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.082725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes35c426.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.724141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.082334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c393.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2820048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No64c360.92$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.389354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes35c316.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Yes37c312.26$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes34c293.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.473135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a5…3249backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.276944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.164858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3a…f3d9backed Yes37c257.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16063857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c249.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae2…06f0backed Yes37c244.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes40c242.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.373850%19 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c241.68$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6231849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes40c224.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.51450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+129.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed No64c221.73$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No64c207.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0155545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No64c189.58$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4345135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.419546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Yes36c165.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3511…17c3backed Yes35c165.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No62c144.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.745856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes36c139.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.712133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1411449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed No56c133$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe400…9aa9backed Yes36c126.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No65c122.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.127851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0646…b8e2backed Yes37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked No62c119.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacb0…0f48backed Yes41c115.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No59c115.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.438947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ae3…ccc9backed No64c114.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No63c111.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c108.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No64c108.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.099048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No64c104.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.752969%20 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No63c100.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.072450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643850%19 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d51…4946backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d2…3d16backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.994751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes38c96.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.998130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c88.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes36c88.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes36c86.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes35c84.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.629338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332825%7 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No60c81.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4217249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Yes38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No65c78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.711562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked No64c77.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes36c76.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed No13c75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed No22c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No62c69.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.822650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.574757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes36c66.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.472250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…66afbacked Yes37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked No22c58.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.874951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.