TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,348 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x76be…120ebacked Yes26c29,750$7,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,842.492040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c28,884$21,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,637.0652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes27c26,861$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.684045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c15,388$12,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.0871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c13,125$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.8937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c7,055$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.571,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8202751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No74c6,011$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c5,429$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.751,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c3,546$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No73c3,333$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.914468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c3,159$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.9321144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes27c2,750$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.58435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,083$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes20c1,575$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.751936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No73c1,533$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,366$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No74c1,200$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c666.9$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c580$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.89863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Yes4c550$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c535.46$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c504.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes12c500.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.491020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes8c319.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7810838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No74c293.87$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.415060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No75c279.06$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c278.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.898434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes4c266.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No73c263.71$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.673672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed No77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.83545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c230$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c212.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes7c192.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c178.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c170$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes27c166.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.383912.8%5 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c161.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.77147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked No75c153.33$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yes28c142.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa35…0624backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No77c129.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Yes14c128.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c126.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5310938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed No74c124.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe871…5afabacked Yes25c119.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd0…4048backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes19c111.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c111.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9418245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No74c108.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.042552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa882…f26cbacked Yes26c108.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe681…cba8backed No74c107.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691e…4d2abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d5…274bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed Yes27c92.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.