Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2267820eb0f02ea59043de155a13891072da5f70bfa4edd3dd82a1522b462997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 54c | 69,065$37,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,638.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 41,886$24,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,544.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 41,750$22,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,532 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 40,197$18,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,393.27 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 39,963$18,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,463.27 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 47c | 20,620$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Yes | 38c | 15,791$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 11,711$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.37 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 55c | 10,929$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 46c | 10,830$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 49c | 10,470$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 54c | 8,955$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 47c | 8,449$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 53c | 7,800$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.96 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 41c | 6,444$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 4,586$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.9 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 52c | 4,382$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.36 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 3,524$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.15 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 3,338$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.37 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 45c | 3,334$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 52c | 3,333$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.26 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 3,243$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.19 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,234$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 3,137$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.61 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 2,651$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.84 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 2,601$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.64 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes | 41c | 2,586$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 2,564$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,972$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.02 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes | 38c | 1,701$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 53c | 1,645$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.59 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Yes | 43c | 1,482$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 1,152$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 44c | 1,152$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.89 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 1,095$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.09 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 54c | 1,095$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,050$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 41c | 999.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 43c | 936.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 57c | 888$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 53c | 871.7$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 51c | 839.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.59 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Yes | 48c | 714.42$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 52c | 664.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 53c | 662.2$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 45c | 661.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 54c | 657$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 46c | 649.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 646.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 641.58$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 55c | 639.97$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Yes | 46c | 629.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 55c | 569.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…8285backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 559$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 46c | 537.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 517.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Yes | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 52c | 499.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 55c | 487.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 474.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 47c | 451.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 48c | 424$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 34c | 420$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 49c | 412.02$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 28c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 393.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.