TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,706 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No66c30,705$20,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,225.5171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes35c12,423$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,062.0537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c9,694$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.971,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Yes67c3,747$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c3,418$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.6687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes64c3,004$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.491,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c2,108$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.6452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No64c1,869$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.431457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes29c1,737$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.921612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c1,655$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.0524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No23c1,635$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c1,499$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.718046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…14f2backed Yes74c1,350$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes33c1,203$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.866530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No14c1,112$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7102254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes46c733.29$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c666.89$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c659.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes28c621.43$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c619$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed No58c603.47$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c530$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes28c360$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.211644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No28c282.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed Yes58c229.49$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c227$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes34c202.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.382846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+123.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c155.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1818847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes28c151$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.721428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes28c135.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.639846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes32c132.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes42c131.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.028434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c117.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3113655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No73c115.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.611154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No51c111.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3110938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.77988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+63.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes38c101.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes40c101.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes69c94.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No51c93.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8615951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes47c92.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0317251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c87.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Yes65c86.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No71c80$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.86555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c79.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No61c79.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.616224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes49c71.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c68.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…5834backed No72c66.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c65.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c63.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5817817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x745f…0c62backed Yes29c63.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No21c61.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8513246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes69c60.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No18c58.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7df…fb74backed No70c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Yes28c54.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.953070%21 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes51c51.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58df…d6d9backed Yes29c50.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302528%7 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e45…e9ebbacked Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No25c49.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…c5ebbacked No72c47.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c46.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes28c45.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.754148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.85747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ece…2340backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No65c38.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked No72c34.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d78…6794backed No72c33.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafd…dd54backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fa…c5cbbacked No72c32.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69be…78fbbacked Yes66c30.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed No71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…4418backed Yes37c29.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e3…afc9backed No68c28.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba6…13a3backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes58c26.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b03…2b75backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes55c22.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed No73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c16.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No72c14.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.498066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.